Australian Homes Poised for Peak Performance in 2024, Despite Interest Rate Jitters

Saturday, 3 February 2024

Australian house prices are on track to break records this year, defying rising interest rates, according to a prediction from the nation's biggest bank. Buckle up, potential buyers, because 2024 could be a banner year for the property market.

Belinda Moore, a senior economist at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA), has forecast a 5% jump in house values over the next 12 months. While acknowledging a potential slowdown due to interest rate hikes, Ms. Moore believes the overall trend points towards upward momentum.

"We expect a lift in home prices of five per cent in 2024," she stated, "but with more modest gains until interest rates ease later in the year." The CBA predicts the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) may start cutting rates in September 2024, potentially fueling further price increases.

However, Ms. Moore warns that the market across capital cities won't be uniform. "We do expect considerable divergence," she noted, suggesting some regions might see more significant growth than others.

This prediction comes on the heels of encouraging January data from CoreLogic, a property data firm. Their analysis reveals a 0.4% national house price increase, indicating a robust start to the year.

The CBA attributes this momentum to two key factors: limited housing stock and rising rents. With fewer houses available and demand remaining strong, prices are naturally pushed upwards. Additionally, increasing rental costs make homeownership more attractive, further fueling demand and potentially leading to higher property values.

While rising interest rates may dampen enthusiasm slightly, the overall outlook for the Australian housing market in 2024 appears positive, according to the CBA. So, whether you're a seasoned investor or a first-time buyer, keep your eyes peeled – exciting times could be ahead for the Australian property scene.

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